Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Total Volume

$14.94K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Vol

$14.94K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.94K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.94K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	89%
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	82%
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	73%
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	63%
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	51%
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	38%
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	17%
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q2 2027?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$14.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Q2 2027 If real GDP, as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate, increases by more than X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Q2 2027

If real GDP, as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate, increases by more than X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $348
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $352
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $642
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $531
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $453
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2027): Vol $655
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Volume$14.94K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo

KALSHI

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo

KALSHI

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo

KALSHI

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo

KALSHI

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM follo

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/W9DZ-D" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?"></iframe>

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Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

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Events (1)

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Markets (9)

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

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Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Related News & Context

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Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?

Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2027?