Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Olimpia Milano vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
Total Volume
$1.77K
Events
1
Markets
1
Olimpia Milano vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $1.77K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $1.77K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Olimpia Milano vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 67% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
67%
Top Probability
$1.77K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for January 15 at 2:30PM ET: If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to "Olimpia Milano". If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to "KK Crvena Zvezda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets currently price Olimpia Milano as a significant favorite to win their Euroleague basketball game against KK Crvena Zvezda. On Polymarket, shares for a Milano victory are trading at 67 cents, implying a 67% probability of that outcome. This suggests the market views a home win as the most likely scenario, but with substantial risk, as a one-in-three chance remains for an upset by the Serbian side. The market volume is relatively thin at approximately $2,000, indicating lower liquidity and that these odds could be more sensitive to new information.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
Two primary basketball factors are likely shaping this market pricing. First, home-court advantage in the Euroleague is a powerful force, and Milano will host this game at the Mediolanum Forum. Second, the teams' positions in the Euroleague standings create a clear performance gap. Olimpia Milano is typically a perennial playoff contender, while KK Crvena Zvezda has struggled more recently in the highly competitive league, often fighting near the bottom of the table. This fundamental disparity in team quality and consistency is a core driver of the odds.
What Could Change These Odds
The most immediate catalyst is team news regarding player availability, such as injuries to key stars for either side, which could shift the odds dramatically in these low-liquidity conditions. Furthermore, while Milano is favored, Crvena Zvezda's style of play is known for its defensive intensity and physicality, which can disrupt favored teams in a single-game setting. A slow start or poor shooting night from Milano could make this a close contest, exposing the risk priced into the current 33% implied probability for the underdog. The market will finalize at the game's conclusion on January 15.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.