Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Name: Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
End: 2026-10-19T09:00:00.000Z

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Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

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$0.00

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Francesca Jones (-1.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Francesca Jones (-1.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+1.5)	Poly	62%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	58%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	55%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	53%
Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones	Poly	50%
Game Spread: Francesca Jones (-6.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+6.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Martina Colmegna (-1.5) vs Francesca Jones (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	25%
Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones	Poly	20%
Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones	Poly	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Francesca Jones. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Martina Colmegna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days af

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Francesca Jones.

This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Martina Colmegna.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days af

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Francesca Jones.

This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jon"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $23.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martina Colmegna: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [Francesca Jones: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martina Colmegna: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Francesca Jones: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martina Colmegna: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Francesca Jones: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Colmegna vs. Jones: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Colmegna vs. Jones: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Martina Colmegna (-1.5) vs Francesca Jones (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Martina Colmegna: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Francesca Jones: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Francesca Jones (-1.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francesca Jones: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [Martina Colmegna: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Spread: Francesca Jones (-6.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+6.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Francesca Jones: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Martina Colmegna: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

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Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

POLYMARKET

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" o

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Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

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46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/WB3Mqe" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones"></iframe>

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Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

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Set Handicap: Francesca Jones (-1.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Markets (17)

Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Francesca Jones (-1.5) vs Martina Colmegna (+1.5)

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Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Completed Match: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 1 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Set 2 Winner: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Martina Colmegna vs. Francesca Jones: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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