Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Total Volume

$8.69K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Vol

$8.69K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Kalshi

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0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $8.69K

100%

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11 markets tracked

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	98%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	96%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	94%
Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	83%
Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	71%
Will at least 5,300,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	36%
Will at least 5,400,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	18%
Will at least 5,500,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	8%
Will at least 5,700,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	5%
Will at least 5,600,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	5%
Will at least 5,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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98%

Top Probability

$8.69K

Volume

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About This Event

On Oct 27, 2026 If at least X valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Registered voters and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 27, 2026

If at least X valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Registered voters and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If at least 5,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 5,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 5,700,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 5,600,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 5,500,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will at least 5,400,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will at least 5,300,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Volume$8.69K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

If at least 4,800,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register

KALSHI

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

If at least 4,900,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register

KALSHI

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

If at least 5,000,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register

KALSHI

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

If at least 5,100,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register

KALSHI

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

If at least 5,200,000 valid and invalid ballots are cast in the October 27, 2026 Israeli Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The count is the total of valid and invalid ballots cast in Israel's Knesset election, as reported by the Central Elections Committee. Register

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/WDs3Y1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout"></iframe>

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Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

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Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

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Events (1)

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Markets (11)

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

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Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,100,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

Will at least 5,200,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?

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