Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread

Total Volume

$4.00

Events

Markets

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Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread

Vol

$4.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $4.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	18%
Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	10%
Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	6%
Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$4.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GEM vs NOB (Oct 12) If Newell's Old Boys wins by more than X goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their resp

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GEM vs NOB (Oct 12)

If Newell's Old Boys wins by more than X goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their resp

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary ru"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread

Volume$4.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalsh

KALSHI

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary ru

KALSHI

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalsh

KALSHI

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary ru

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Average Yes Price

9¢

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Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread

Markets (4)

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Mendoza wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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