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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad

Name: 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad
End: 2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$141.55

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad

Vol

$141.55

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $141.55

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $141.55

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Rodrigo De Paul be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rodrigo De Paul be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	94%
Will José López be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	94%
Will Alexis Mac Allister be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	80%
Will Máximo Perrone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	77%
Will Emiliano Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	56%
Will Alejandro Garnacho be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	54%
Will Exequiel Palacios be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	53%
Will Tomás Palacios be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	53%
Will Gonzalo Montiel be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	53%
Will Enzo Fernández be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	53%
Will Gianluca Prestianni be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	52%
Will Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Giuliano Simeone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Lucas Martínez Quarta be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Gabriel Rojas be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Valentín Barco be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Nahuel Molina be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Nicolás Otamendi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Cristian Romero be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Nicolás Tagliafico be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Nico González be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Joaquín Panichelli be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Lisandro Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Juan Musso be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Leonardo Balerdi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Thiago Almada be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Nico Paz be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Leandro Paredes be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Julián Álvarez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Agustín Giay be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Giovani Lo Celso be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	50%
Will Gerónimo Rulli be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	49%
Will Lautaro Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$141.55

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first gam

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Argentina Squad
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered.

If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first gam

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $142
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Emiliano Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gerónimo Rulli be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Valentín Barco be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nahuel Molina be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nicolás Otamendi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cristian Romero be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nicolás Tagliafico be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Rodrigo De Paul be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Alexis Mac Allister be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Exequiel Palacios be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Máximo Perrone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Nico González be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Lionel Messi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Giuliano Simeone be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lucas Martínez Quarta be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Joaquín Panichelli be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Lisandro Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Alejandro Garnacho be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Juan Musso be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Leonardo Balerdi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Tomás Palacios be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Gonzalo Montiel be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Gabriel Rojas be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Thiago Almada be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Enzo Fernández be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Nico Paz be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Leandro Paredes be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Julián Álvarez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will José López be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Gianluca Prestianni be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Agustín Giay be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Lautaro Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Giovani Lo Celso be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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