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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Name: Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$571.77K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Vol

$571.77K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $571.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $571.77K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Poly	45%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$571.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (170 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuela"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $79.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $79.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics