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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Name: World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
End: 2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$129.53K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Vol

$129.53K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $129.53K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $129.53K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$129.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:**  World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $129.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 87.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1.  World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 10, 2026): Vol $129.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports