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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Central Bank of Chile Decision in January?

Central Bank of Chile Decision in January?
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PM $0

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Events

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 50+ bps decrease at 45.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 50+ bps decrease45.5%
  2. 50+ bps increase45%
  3. 25 bps decrease44.5%
  4. 25 bps increase44.5%
  5. No Change41%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the January 2027 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Chile, including the statement or release from its January 2027 meeting, scheduled for January 26, 2027, as listed on the official Central Bank of Chile calendar (https://www.bcentral.cl/es/web/banco-central/noticias-y-publicaciones/prensa/calendario-de-politica-monetaria-y-financiera). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Chile resulting from its January 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
Central Bank of Chile decision in December

Central Bank of Chile decision in December

PM $389.43
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?Yes 31%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 26.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 18%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Central Bank of Chile Decision in March?

Central Bank of Chile Decision in March?

PM $0
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 37.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 37%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 37%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November

PM $121.5K · K 85.4K contracts

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 75.8%Rules differK Yes 77%

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 23%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Brazil hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Israel Decision in January?

Bank of Israel Decision in January?

PM $60
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting?Yes 40%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?Yes 33%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

PM $29.9K
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Yes 50%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes 31.1%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes 8.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in January?

Bank of Canada Decision in January?

PM $1.9K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?Yes 46%
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the January interest rate announcement?Yes 40%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the January interest rate announcement?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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