This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

China Annual Inflation 2026

Name: China Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$38.86K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

China Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$38.86K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $38.86K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $38.86K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?	Poly	40%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?	Poly	19%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Poly	7%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Poly	6%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Poly	3%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?	Poly	1%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?	Poly	0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Poly	0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$38.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** China Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 10, 2027 (141 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period e"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $38.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $17.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy