Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

Total Volume

$7.23K

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

Vol

$7.23K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.23K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.23K

100%

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13 markets tracked

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	95%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	94%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	80%
Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	58%
Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	55%
Will Elsinore be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	24%
Will Possible Love be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	20%
Will I Play Rocky be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	13%
Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Obsession be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	7%
Will Woman Unknown be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	6%
Will Michael be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	6%
Will Fatherland be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$7.23K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama If X is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respecti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respecti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If I Play Rocky is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will I Play Rocky be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Obsession be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $443
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Woman Unknown be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Possible Love be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Michael be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Fatherland be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Elsinore be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $810
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

Volume$7.23K

Markets13

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KALSHI

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If The Odyssey is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated,

KALSHI

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If La Bola Negra is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated

KALSHI

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Dune: Part Three is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associa

KALSHI

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Fjord is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, author

KALSHI

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If All of a Sudden is on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th The Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associat

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36¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/WcmyVD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

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Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

Markets (13)

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Fjord be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will All of a Sudden be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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