Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?
PM $20.9K
1
5
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?
PM $20.9K
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 61%.
Polymarket
- December 31, 202761%
- September 30, 202737%
- June 30, 202735%
- March 31, 202711.5%
- December 31, 202610.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $20.9K
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Prime Intellect (https://x.com/PrimeIntellect), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The source describes an event asking whether Prime Intellect will launch a token by a deadline. Under the stated rules, the market resolves "Yes" if Prime Intellect "officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title." Otherwise it resolves "No" [1]. The rules add that "Only an official token launched by Prime Intellect will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count." They also state that "The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify" [1].
The source names Prime Intellect's official X account as the primary resolution source, with "a consensus of credible reporting" also usable [1]. Each deadline is a separate contract, so the titles differ only by date.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved later that day at 2026-10-15T18:24:23.919Z [1]. These are observation-time values, not live quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The saved sample contains five Polymarket contracts, all included with no partial sample flag [1]. The Yes prices, by listed title, are:
- December 31, 2026: Yes 0.115, No 0.885
- March 31, 2027: Yes 0.12, No 0.88
- June 30, 2027: Yes 0.295, No 0.705
- September 30, 2027: Yes 0.365, No 0.635
- December 31, 2027: Yes 0.49, No 0.51
Within this single event, the Yes price is higher for later deadlines. Each Yes and No pair sums to 1.00 in the snapshot. Because the contracts share a question but use different deadlines, they should be compared as a set of dates, not as independent forecasts. The listed end dates for the per-market contracts also differ, for example 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z for the December 2026 contract and 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z for the event-level end time [1]. Since the rules set resolution at 11:59 PM ET on the title date, readers should check the listed close time for each contract against its wording.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices stand where they do, how much trading occurred, or how many participants hold each view. The source contains no reporting on Prime Intellect's plans beyond the contract wording. Because the sample covers only this provider event, it should not be merged with prices from other platforms or other questions, and no arbitrage conclusion follows from price differences alone.
References
- Polymarket: Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event asking whether Prime Intellect will launch a token by a date stated in each contract's title. The event is titled "Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?" and falls in the crypto category [1]. Its contract rules set a clear test for a "Yes" outcome. The market resolves to "Yes" if Prime Intellect officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "No" [1]. The rules also narrow what qualifies. Only an official token launched by Prime Intellect counts. Stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens and synthetic tokens are excluded [1]. The token must also be actively and publicly tradable, and announcements alone do not qualify [1]. A reader should therefore treat a public statement about a future token as insufficient under these rules. The token has to exist and be tradable by the deadline. For resolution, the primary source is information from Prime Intellect, specifically its official X account, but the rules add that a consensus of credible reporting will also be used [1]. This means the outcome depends on what the issuer or credible reporting shows at the close of the relevant contract, not on the price movements of the contract itself. The saved event contains five contracts with different deadlines in their titles: December 31, 2026; March 31, 2027; June 30, 2027; September 30, 2027; and December 31, 2027 [1]. Each title is a separate contract with its own closing time. The contract end times are set a few hours after the stated calendar dates, which reflects the 11:59 PM ET cutoff in the rules. The dates appear in the contract rules as deadlines. They are not announced launch dates, and the source does not say that any launch has been scheduled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific project, Prime Intellect, will have an official, publicly tradable token in place by a deadline. The rules are narrow. They exclude many kinds of tokens and do not count announcements [1]. Because each title sets a different deadline, the set of contracts shows how the same question is framed across successive time horizons. The contracts do not measure the value of any token, the strength of the project, or the number of people trading. Prices in the contracts are market snapshots and should not be read as verified probabilities or executable quotes.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a "Yes" outcome require?
A "Yes" outcome requires that Prime Intellect officially launch a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date in the contract title, and the token must be actively and publicly tradable [1].
Does an announcement of a future token count?
No. The contract rules state that the token must be actively and publicly tradable and that announcements alone do not qualify [1].
Which kinds of tokens are excluded?
Stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs) and synthetic tokens are excluded. Only an official token launched by Prime Intellect qualifies [1].
Where will the outcome be determined?
The primary resolution source is information from Prime Intellect's official X account, and the rules also say a consensus of credible reporting will be used [1].
Why do the contracts have different dates?
Each contract title specifies a different deadline, and each contract resolves at its own end time. The saved event includes five titles with deadlines from December 31, 2026 through December 31, 2027 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
