What countries will Trump visit before 2027? | PredictPedia

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23 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	94%
Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	92%
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	70%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64%
Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	63%
Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	59%
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	51%
Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	49%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	48%
Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	41%
Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	38%
Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	37%
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	35%
Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	35%
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	30%
Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	17%
Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%
Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	9%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What countries will Trump visit before 2027?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries X after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, offic

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Venezuela after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport la"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $175.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $14.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $31.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $8.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $32.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

What countries will Trump visit before 2027?

Markets (23)

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What countries will Trump visit before 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit France before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

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