GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

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What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

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21 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	50%
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	31%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	17%
Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%
Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	9%
Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	5%
Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries X after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or, unless explicitly specified, presence in adjacent international waters or solely wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries X after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or, unless explicitly specified, presence in adjacent international waters or solely wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Pakistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump visit Vatican City before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump visit Qatar before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump visit Palestine (West Bank and Gaza Strip) before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump visit North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Donald Trump visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Donald Trump visit Italy before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Donald Trump visit India before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Donald Trump visit Hungary before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.6% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Donald Trump visit Denmark (incl. Greenland) before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Donald Trump visit Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

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KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Germany after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, l

KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Saudi Arabia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landi

KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, la

KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Japan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, lay

KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Poland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, la

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What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

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Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Markets (21)

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Germany before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Japan before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Poland before Jan 1, 2027?

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