Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Serie A Player of the Season (2026-27)

Name: Serie A Player of the Season (2026-27)
End: 2027-06-14T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.52K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Serie A Player of the Season (2026-27)

Vol

$7.52K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.52K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.52K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	27%
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	12%
Will Andrea Pinamonti win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	11%
Will Paulo Dybala win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	10%
Will Lorenzo Lucca win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	9%
Will Riccardo Orsolini win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	8%
Will Loïs Openda win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Kenan Yıldız win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Moise Kean win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Rasmus Højlund win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Christian Pulisic win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Santiago Castro win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	5%
Will Gonçalo Ramos win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	4%
Will Artem Dovbyk win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	4%
Will Gianluca Scamacca win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	4%
Will Santiago Giménez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	4%
Will Valentín Castellanos win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	4%
Will Francesco Camarda win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	3%
Will Kevin De Bruyne win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	3%
Will Randal Kolo Muani win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	3%
Will Jonathan David win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	3%
Will Marcus Thuram win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	3%
Will Rafael Leão win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	2%
Will Ademola Lookman win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$7.52K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award, as awarded by Lega Serie A. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Lega Serie A. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, or there is otherwise no such award announced by June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Serie A Player of the Season (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 14, 2027 (245 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award, as awarded by Lega Serie A.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Lega Serie A. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, or there is otherwise no such award announced by June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award, as awarded by Lega Serie A.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Lega Serie A. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $445
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Marcus Thuram win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Moise Kean win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rafael Leão win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gonçalo Ramos win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $330
  DATA: [Yes: 4.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ademola Lookman win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Rasmus Højlund win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jonathan David win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kevin De Bruyne win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Christian Pulisic win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Santiago Giménez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 14, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Artem Dovbyk win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kenan Yıldız win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Paulo Dybala win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $148
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Randal Kolo Muani win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Loïs Openda win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Riccardo Orsolini win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 7.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.2% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gianluca Scamacca win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Lorenzo Lucca win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Valentín Castellanos win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Andrea Pinamonti win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 10.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.3% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Santiago Castro win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $418
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Francesco Camarda win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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