GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)	Kalshi	82%
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)	Kalshi	78%
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)	Kalshi	67%
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)	Kalshi	60%
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)	Kalshi	40%
When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before August)	Kalshi	17%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Frontier Math: Open Problems If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before X 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI, a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs; for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Frontier Math: Open Problems

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before X 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI, a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs; for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before August)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHITech

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add

KALSHI

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.0¢No 22.0¢

KALSHITech

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add

KALSHI

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

KALSHITech

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add

KALSHI

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHITech

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add

KALSHI

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHITech

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, add

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

57¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/WowlFX" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Markets (6)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before 2027)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before December)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before November)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before October)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems? (Before September)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget