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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Marvell announce acquisition of Lumentum before 2027?

Will Marvell announce acquisition of Lumentum before 2027?
Vol

K 0.04 contracts

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Events

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 73% on Kalshi.

Kalshi

  1. Yes73%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0.04 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If Marvell announces an agreement to acquire Lumentum before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control. This market will close and expire early if the acquisition is announced.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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