Name: Six Nations: Scotland vs France
End: 2026-03-14T14:10:00.000Z

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Six Nations: Scotland vs France | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will France win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will France win?	Poly	79%
Will Scotland win?	Poly	19%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Six Nations: Scotland vs France
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 14, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Six Nations match between Scotland and France, scheduled for March 7 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 7 2026
If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Scotland win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2026): Vol $331
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will France win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2026): Vol $658
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

12d 6h remaining

Mar 14, 2026 2:10 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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Six Nations: Scotland vs France

Six Nations: Scotland vs France

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Will France win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Six Nations: Scotland vs France

Markets (3)

Will France win?

Will France win?

Will Scotland win?

Will Scotland win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will France win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Six Nations: Scotland vs France

Will France win?

Will France win?

Will Scotland win?

Will Scotland win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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