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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Name: Who visited Epstein's Island?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.78M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Vol

$1.78M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.78M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.78M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	9%
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	7%
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	7%
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	6%
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	5%
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	4%
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	4%
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	4%
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	4%
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	3%
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	3%
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	3%
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	2%
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	2%
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	2%
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	2%
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$1.78M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who visited Epstein's Island?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.65M
* **Total Liquidity:** $190.1K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $39.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $142.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $45.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $116.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $62.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $26.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $582.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $84.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $280.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $34.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $159.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics