Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Name: What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
End: 2026-10-15T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.69K

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Markets

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Vol

$1.69K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.69K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.69K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?	Poly	97%
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?	Poly	92%
Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?	Poly	78%
Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?	Poly	73%
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Poly	63%
Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?	Poly	59%
Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?	Poly	56%
Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ?	Poly	50%
Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Poly	44%
Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Poly	40%
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?	Poly	39%
Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	Poly	37%
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Poly	34%
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Poly	26%
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$1.69K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If no such Prime Minister's Question Time e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.49)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 96.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $193
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $319
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $323
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture