Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsSports

French Open Men's Singles Winner

Name: French Open Men's Singles Winner
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.38M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

French Open Men's Singles Winner

Vol

$26.38M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.38M

Kalshi

markets · $867.02

Price Spread

3.5%avg

max 3.5%

Price gaps

of 1 cross-platform

Calculate

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.38M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "French Open Men's Singles: Casper Ruud wins"; listed deadline 2027-06-29T02:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?"; listed deadline 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 12:34:58 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 1 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "French Open Men's Singles Winner". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-06-29T02:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Price difference

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(1)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?DIFF Related contracts	0%	4%	3%

Single-Platform Markets(24)

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$26.38M

Volume

Markets

6.4%

Price Gap

About This Event

2027 French Open Men's Singles If X wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** French Open Men's Singles Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027 French Open Men's Singles

If X wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant. Kalshi is not a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Casper Ruud wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or tak"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $309.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.08M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (1 mkts) vs Kalshi (25 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. French Open Men's Singles: Casper Ruud wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $308.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 3.5% spread between platforms.

### 2. French Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. French Open Men's Singles: Valentin Vacherot wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. French Open Men's Singles: Learner Tien wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. French Open Men's Singles: Frances Tiafoe wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. French Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. French Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. French Open Men's Singles: Andrey Rublev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. French Open Men's Singles: Tommy Paul wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. French Open Men's Singles: Brandon Nakashima wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. French Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. French Open Men's Singles: Jakub Mensik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. French Open Men's Singles: Daniil Medvedev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. French Open Men's Singles: Jiri Lehecka wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. French Open Men's Singles: Rafael Jodar wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. French Open Men's Singles: Taylor Fritz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. French Open Men's Singles: Arthur Fils wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. French Open Men's Singles: Novak Djokovic wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. French Open Men's Singles: Alex de Minaur wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. French Open Men's Singles: Luciano Darderi wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. French Open Men's Singles: Flavio Cobolli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. French Open Men's Singles: Francisco Cerundolo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. French Open Men's Singles: Alexander Bublik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. French Open Men's Singles: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. French Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 29, 2027): Vol $633
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 1 pair

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles Winner

Volume$867.02

Markets25

POLYMARKETSports

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner d

Volume$26.38M

Markets1

25 of 25

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KALSHI

French Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

If Jannik Sinner wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or t

KALSHI

French Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or

KALSHI

French Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, o

KALSHI

French Open Men's Singles: Novak Djokovic wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles: Novak Djokovic wins

If Novak Djokovic wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or

KALSHI

French Open Men's Singles: Rafael Jodar wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHISports

French Open Men's Singles: Rafael Jodar wins

If Rafael Jodar wins the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 French Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or ta

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Next Market Deadline

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Nov 01, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

Largest saved gap: 3.5 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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French Open Men's Singles Winner