Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles Winner

Total Volume

$15.99K

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Australian Open Men's Singles Winner

Vol

$15.99K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $15.99K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.99K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins	Kalshi	41%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins	Kalshi	35%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins	Kalshi	8%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins	Kalshi	4%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins	Kalshi	3%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Jakub Mensik wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Daniil Medvedev wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Rafael Jodar wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Arthur Fils wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Novak Djokovic wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Learner Tien wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Frances Tiafoe wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Taylor Fritz wins	Kalshi	2%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Brandon Nakashima wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Jiri Lehecka wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Valentin Vacherot wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Casper Ruud wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Andrey Rublev wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Tommy Paul wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Alex de Minaur wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Luciano Darderi wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Flavio Cobolli wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Francisco Cerundolo wins	Kalshi	1%
Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Bublik wins	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$15.99K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2027 Australian Open Men's Singles If X wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Australian Open Men's Singles Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles

If X wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Alexander Zverev wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consider"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Australian Open Men's Singles: Valentin Vacherot wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Australian Open Men's Singles: Learner Tien wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $452
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Australian Open Men's Singles: Frances Tiafoe wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $837
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Australian Open Men's Singles: Casper Ruud wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Australian Open Men's Singles: Andrey Rublev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Australian Open Men's Singles: Tommy Paul wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $308
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Australian Open Men's Singles: Brandon Nakashima wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $668
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Australian Open Men's Singles: Jakub Mensik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Australian Open Men's Singles: Daniil Medvedev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Australian Open Men's Singles: Jiri Lehecka wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Australian Open Men's Singles: Rafael Jodar wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Australian Open Men's Singles: Taylor Fritz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Australian Open Men's Singles: Arthur Fils wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $716
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Australian Open Men's Singles: Novak Djokovic wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Australian Open Men's Singles: Alex de Minaur wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Australian Open Men's Singles: Luciano Darderi wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Australian Open Men's Singles: Flavio Cobolli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Australian Open Men's Singles: Francisco Cerundolo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Bublik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Australian Open Men's Singles: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles Winner

Volume$15.99K

Markets25

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KALSHI

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from considerat

KALSHI

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

If Jannik Sinner wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from considerati

KALSHI

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consider

KALSHI

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

If Ben Shelton wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration

KALSHI

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHISports

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

If Lorenzo Musetti wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from considera

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/kpGQ8X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Australian Open Men's Singles Winner"></iframe>

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Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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Events (1)

Australian Open Men's Singles Winner

Markets (25)

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

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Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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Australian Open Men's Singles Winner

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Carlos Alcaraz wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Jannik Sinner wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Alexander Zverev wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Ben Shelton wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

Australian Open Men's Singles: Lorenzo Musetti wins

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