Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Total Volume

$10.09K

Events

Markets

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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Vol

$10.09K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.09K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.09K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	86%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	4%
Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mary Peltola be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Angie Nixon be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$10.09K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET If X is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundraiser. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with ActBlue. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET

If X is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundraiser. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with ActBlue. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Troy Jackson is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $997
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $997
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mary Peltola be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $999
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Angie Nixon be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 14, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume$10.09K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHITech

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fun

KALSHI

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Abdul El-Sayed is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fun

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Jon Ossoff is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundrai

KALSHI

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Troy Jackson is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundr

KALSHI

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Sherrod Brown is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fund

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14¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/XE066y" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?"></iframe>

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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

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Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Markets (7)

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET?

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