GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

Name: How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$80.65K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

Vol

$80.65K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $80.65K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $80.65K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	52%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	46%
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$80.65K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of me

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of me

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through eit"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $80.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.80)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $28.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $13.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $10.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech