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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
Vol

PM $208.8K

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 12-15 at 79.7%.

Polymarket

  1. 12-1579.7%
  2. 16-199.8%
  3. <123.5%
  4. 20-231.8%
  5. 24-270.7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $208.8K

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

PM $85.0K
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 95%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Yes 18.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

K 98.6K contracts
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 86.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

K 282.7K contracts
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Denver, CO before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

K 0 contracts
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 80.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 65%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 63.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

PM $5.73M · K 16.22M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 79.8%Rules differK Yes 37.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

38 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

PM $217.6K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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