GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Name: Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.51K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Vol

$25.51K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.51K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.51K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?	Poly	94%
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	Poly	84%
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?	Poly	82%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?	Poly	75%
Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?	Poly	57%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026?	Poly	51%
Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?	Poly	47%
Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?	Poly	46%
Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?	Poly	44%
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?	Poly	37%
Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026?	Poly	24%
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?	Poly	21%
Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026?	Poly	21%
Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?	Poly	15%
Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?	Poly	13%
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$25.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed ci

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed ci

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver acti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.9K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $614
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $398
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $742
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $178
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $595
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $169
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $814
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $444
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.3% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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