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GroupPOLYMARKET

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Vol

PM $85.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

19

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Denver, CO at 95%.

Polymarket

  1. Denver, CO95%
  2. Las Vegas, NV91.5%
  3. Sacramento, CA19%
  4. Charlotte, NC14%
  5. Detroit, MI13%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $85.0K

Reported volume · provider units

19

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

PM $208.8K
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 77.9%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 10%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

PM $485.4K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

PM $11.1K
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

K 98.6K contracts
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 86.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 80.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

PM $5.71M · K 16.21M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 80.5%Rules differK Yes 76%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 79.8%Rules differK Yes 37.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

38 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

PM $217.5K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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