Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

Total Volume

$85.52

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How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

Vol

$85.52

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $85.52

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $85.52

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	95%
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	56%
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 8 before October 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$85.52

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About This Event

Before Oct 1, 2027 If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least X before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs. Counts toward the total: X government-wide continuing resolution One covering only some areas, or only specific prog

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 1, 2027

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least X before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs. Counts toward the total: X government-wide continuing resolution One covering only some areas, or only specific prog

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 8 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $86
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 8 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

Volume$85.52

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 2 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are

KALSHI

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.0¢No 44.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 3 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are

KALSHI

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 4 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are

KALSHI

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 5 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are

KALSHI

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 6 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations are

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How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

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Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

Markets (6)

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

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Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 2 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 3 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 5 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 6 before October 1, 2027?

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