Name: CD Tondela vs. SC Braga
End: 2026-01-18T18:00:00.000Z

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CD Tondela vs. SC Braga | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?	Poly	61%
Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	Poly	24%
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?	Poly	16%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CD Tondela vs. SC Braga
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 18, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 between CD Tondela and SC Braga.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 18, 2026
If CD Tondela wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $854
* **Total Liquidity:** $144.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $262
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $77
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $515
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

2d 6h remaining

Jan 18, 2026 6:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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CD Tondela vs. SC Braga

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Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

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Events (1)

CD Tondela vs. SC Braga

Markets (3)

Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?

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Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

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CD Tondela vs. SC Braga

Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?

Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?

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