GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsSports

F1 Constructors Champion

Name: F1 Constructors Champion
End: 2026-12-06T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$30.91M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

F1 Constructors Champion

Vol

$30.91M

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.85M

Kalshi

markets · $2.06M

Price Spread

0.6%avg

max 1.6%

Arbitrage

of 11 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.91M

93%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(11)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	96%	95%	2%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	3%	5%	1%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	1%	2%	1%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	0%	1%	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$30.91M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If X wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 6, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** F1 Constructors Champion
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If X wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve ac"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30.91M
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.89M
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 16.38)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (11 mkts) vs Kalshi (11 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $1.85M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $331.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $1.09M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $334.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.81M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $23.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.31M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $59.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.25M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $34.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.71M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $156.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $1.10M
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $439.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.6% spread between platforms.

### 8. Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $814.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $610.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.24M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.32M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $9.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $3.35M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 21, 2026): Vol $51.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Rules

Different

Timing

Similar

KALSHISports

F1 Constructors Champion

Volume$2.06M

Markets11

POLYMARKETSports

F1 Constructors' Champion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship bas

Volume$28.85M

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average95.3%

Polymarket+1.6%

96.0%

Kalshi

94.5%

Difference:1.6%

Polymarket higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 96.0¢No 3.9¢

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Mercedes AMG Motorsport win the F1 Constructors Championship?

If Mercedes AMG Motorsport wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average4.0%

Polymarket

3.5%

Kalshi+1.0%

4.5%

Difference:1.0%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Ferrari win the F1 Constructors Championship?

If Ferrari wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average1.0%

Polymarket

0.5%

Kalshi+0.9%

1.5%

Difference:0.9%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will McLaren win the F1 Constructors Championship?

If McLaren wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average0.3%

Polymarket

0.1%

Kalshi+0.4%

0.5%

Difference:0.4%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Red Bull Racing win the F1 Constructors Championship?

If Red Bull Racing wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their re

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average0.3%

Polymarket

0.1%

Kalshi+0.5%

0.5%

Difference:0.5%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Williams win the F1 Constructors Championship?

If Williams wins the F1 Constructors Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respectiv

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Next Market Closes

60d 21h remaining

Dec 06, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

9¢

Polymarket

9¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/XMMMEz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="F1 Constructors Champion"></iframe>

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F1 Constructors Champion

F1 Constructors Champion

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Rules & Resolution

Events (2)

F1 Constructors Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

Markets (11)

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Mercedes AMG Motorsport win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Ferrari win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will McLaren win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Red Bull Racing win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Williams win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

Platform Breakdown

Event Comparison

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rules & Resolution

F1 Constructors Champion

F1 Constructors' Champion

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Mercedes AMG Motorsport win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Ferrari win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will McLaren win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Red Bull Racing win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Will Williams win the F1 Constructors Championship?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Platform Breakdown

Event Comparison

Share

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