Name: LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
End: 2026-01-31T16:00:00.000Z

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LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | PredictPedia

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2 markets tracked

First Blood in Game 3?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between MVK Esports and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming in the LCP Regular Season, scheduled for January 31 at 3:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win the match against MVK Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the sched

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between MVK Esports and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming in the LCP Regular Season, scheduled for January 31 at 3:30AM ET:

This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $287
* **Total Liquidity:** $245.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $161
  DATA: [MVK Esports: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [MVK Esports: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming: 50.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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25¢

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LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

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First Blood in Game 3?

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Events (1)

LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Markets (2)

First Blood in Game 2?

First Blood in Game 2?

First Blood in Game 3?

First Blood in Game 3?

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LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

First Blood in Game 2?

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