Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio?

Name: Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio?
End: 2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.91K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio?

Vol

$5.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Poly	55%
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 89% to 92%?	Poly	20%
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio <86%?	Poly	5%
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 92% to 95%?	Poly	3%
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 95%+?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

55%

Top Probability

$5.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to Progressive's combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be consid"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio <86%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 89% to 92%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $902
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 92% to 95%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 95%+?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance