Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?

Name: Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T23:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$426.84

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Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?

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Polymarket

markets · $426.84

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $426.84

100%

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1 market tracked

Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?	Poly	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

11%

Top Probability

$426.84

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Thursday, January 29, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been publis

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Thursday, January 29, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.

If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.

The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been publis

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Thursday, January 29, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.

If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab availab"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $427
* **Total Liquidity:** $20
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 21.47)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Positive: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [Negative: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

11¢

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Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?

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Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)