GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bundesliga Relegation

Total Volume

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Bundesliga Relegation

Vol

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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18 markets tracked

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	61%
Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	53%
Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	51%
Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	51%
Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	51%
Will Stuttgart be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Hoffenheim be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Bremen be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Frankfurt be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Freiburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Leipzig be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Mainz be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Leverkusen be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will FC Cologne be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Hamburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Dortmund be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Bayern Munich be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%
Will M´gladbach be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?	Kalshi	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

61%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

2026-27 If X is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga Relegation
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27

If X is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Stuttgart is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Stuttgart be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hoffenheim be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bremen be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Frankfurt be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Freiburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Leipzig be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Mainz be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Leverkusen be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will FC Cologne be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Hamburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Dortmund be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Bayern Munich be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will M´gladbach be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 15, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bundesliga Relegation

Volume$0.00

Markets18

18 of 18

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KALSHI

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.5¢No 39.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

If Elversberg is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of

KALSHI

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

If Paderborn is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of t

KALSHI

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

If Union Berlin is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property o

KALSHI

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

If Schalke is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

KALSHI

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

If Augsburg is relegated from the Bundesliga in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of th

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Xbuh2f" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bundesliga Relegation"></iframe>

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Bundesliga Relegation

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Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Bundesliga Relegation

Markets (18)

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

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Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

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Bundesliga Relegation

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Elversberg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Paderborn be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Union Berlin be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Schalke be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

Will Augsburg be relegated from Bundesliga in 2026-27 Season?

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