Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Total Volume

$697.27

Events

Markets

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Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Vol

$697.27

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $697.27

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $697.27

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	8%
Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$697.27

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BOT vs CEA (Oct 12) If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored dur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BOT vs CEA (Oct 12)

If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored dur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ceara win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B socce"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $697
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $393
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $304
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Volume$697.27

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Botafogo win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B so

KALSHI

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Ceara win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Botafogo vs Ceara professional Brasileiro Serie B socce

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Average Yes Price

6¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Xd7-Vc" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread"></iframe>

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Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

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Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Events (1)

Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Markets (2)

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Botafogo vs Ceara: First Half Spread

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Botafogo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Ceara wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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