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Events
GroupKALSHI

Alabama gas prices tomorrow

Alabama gas prices tomorrow
Vol

K 29.0K contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

17

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 3.7600 at 99%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 3.760099%
  2. Above 3.785098.5%
  3. Above 3.775095.5%
  4. Above 3.770095.5%
  5. Above 3.765095.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 29.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

17

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 28, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Alabama are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event "Alabama gas prices tomorrow" asks whether a price threshold will be exceeded on a specific date. The source states: "If average regular gas prices for Alabama are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The wording matters in three ways. The measure is average regular gas prices in Alabama, the reference source is AAA, and the test is strictly greater than the threshold, so a price exactly equal to the threshold would not resolve Yes under this wording.

The listed end time in the market data is 2026-11-03T14:00:00.000Z, but the source excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied." [1] A stored end date should not be read as the resolution date. The contract text names October 27, 2026 as the measurement date. The status is recorded as active at the time of the snapshot.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T12:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T14:47:28Z. [1] These are provider and retrieval times, not live prices. Quoted prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample includes 12 of 17 markets from this single Kalshi event. [1] Within the sample, the threshold above $3.8050 is the only market with a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5. The thresholds from $3.8100 to $3.8500 show Yes at 0 and No at 1, and the included threshold at $3.7950 shows the same extreme pattern. The sample is ordered by finite Yes price, so the included markets reflect that selection rule, not the full set of thresholds. The five omitted markets are not shown, and their prices cannot be inferred from this sample.

Because all markets come from one event, the prices can be compared within this event. They should not be combined with prices from other platforms or other events, since the wording, thresholds, and listed end times can differ.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, how many traders hold each position, or what Alabama gas prices will be on October 27, 2026. It also does not include the AAA figures that would determine resolution. The omitted markets in this partial sample are unknown. Volume data is not included here, and volume does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders.

References

  1. Kalshi: Alabama gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Alabama gas prices tomorrow." The contract rules state that if average regular gas prices for Alabama are strictly greater than a stated threshold X on Oct 27, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event is listed as active by its provider, and the excerpt does not supply a listed end time [1]. Each market in the event uses a different threshold. The saved sample includes thresholds from $3.7950 to $3.8500 for average regular gas prices in Alabama, and each market asks whether the average will be above its specific threshold [1]. Because the rule uses "strictly greater than," an average exactly equal to a threshold would not satisfy the Yes condition under the wording provided [1]. The market sample is partial. Of 17 markets saved for this provider event, 12 are included, and the selection favors markets with higher finite Yes prices, then volume [1]. Readers should not treat the included set as the full field of thresholds.

Historical Context

The supplied background sources describe broader energy and food conditions rather than Alabama gas prices specifically. Wikipedia's entry on the 2021 to 2023 global energy crisis states that the crisis "has caused varying effects in different parts of the world" [2]. A separate Wikipedia entry on the 2022 to 2023 global food crises lists the Global energy crisis (2021–2023) among the factors that contributed to the world food crisis, alongside supply chain disruptions and the Russian invasion of Ukraine [3]. These sources provide general context only and do not establish what drives the specific gas price averages named in this contract.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether AAA's reported average regular gas price for Alabama on Oct 27, 2026 is strictly greater than each market's threshold [1]. Each threshold is a separate yes or no question, so the event contains several related but distinct contracts [1]. The prices shown for these contracts are snapshots from the saved provider data. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome [1]. The saved data also does not report trading volume as a measure of liquidity or of the number of participants, so those cannot be inferred from this entry [1]. Differences in price between contracts with different thresholds should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity, since each contract has its own rule.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Alabama gas prices contract ask?

It asks whether average regular gas prices for Alabama are strictly greater than a specified threshold on Oct 27, 2026, according to AAA [1]. If the average is above the threshold on that date under AAA's figure, the market resolves to Yes [1].

Which price source does the contract use?

The contract rules name AAA as the source for the average regular gas price figure [1].

Does a price exactly equal to the threshold count as a Yes?

The rules use the phrase "strictly greater than," so a value that equals the threshold would not meet that wording [1].

Is the date in the contract rules an announced event date?

No. The Oct 27, 2026 date is the date specified in the contract rules for the gas price reading [1]. The saved data does not supply a listed end time for the event [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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