GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gas prices on Election Day

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US gas prices on Election Day

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $2.50?	Kalshi	93%
Will average gas prices be above $2.75?	Kalshi	90%
Will average gas prices be above $3.25?	Kalshi	61%
Will average gas prices be above $3.00?	Kalshi	59%
Will average gas prices be above $3.50?	Kalshi	40%
Will average gas prices be above $3.75?	Kalshi	32%
Will average gas prices be above $4.00?	Kalshi	25%
Will average gas prices be above $4.25?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.50?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.75?	Kalshi	9%
Will average gas prices be above $5.00?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than X on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gas prices on Election Day
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 3, 2026

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than X on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $5.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.75?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.25?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.75?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.75?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gas prices on Election Day

On Nov 3, 2026 If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than X on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.0¢No 39.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.25 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

39¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/XiIz8c" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gas prices on Election Day"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

US gas prices on Election Day

US gas prices on Election Day

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US gas prices on Election Day

Markets (11)

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.75?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.75?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gas prices on Election Day

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.75?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.75?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.25?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.50?

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

Will average gas prices be above $2.75?

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

Will average gas prices be above $3.25?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?