Who will win Survivor Season 50? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Who will win Survivor Season 50?

Total Volume

$50.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will win Survivor Season 50?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $50.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $50.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	69%
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	9%
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	7%
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	6%
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	6%
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	5%
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	5%
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	4%
Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	4%
Will Benjamin “Coach” Wade win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	4%
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	3%
Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	3%
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Quintavius “Q” Burdette win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	2%
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	1%
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	1%
Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	1%
Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

69%

Top Probability

$50.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Survivor Season 50 If X is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts, $1 divided by number of winners. If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withd

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will win Survivor Season 50?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Survivor Season 50

If X is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with split payouts, $1 divided by number of winners. If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance was a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withd

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tiffany Nicole Ervin is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The winner must be officially announced in the finale or via official channels immediately following. Multiple joint winners each resolve to Yes with"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $50.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.14M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Quintavius “Q” Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $998
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Genevieve Mushaluk win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $951
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Chrissy Hofbeck win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Benjamin “Coach” Wade win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $10.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Angelina Keeley win Survivor Season 50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

6¢

Kalshi

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