Name: Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-29T03:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Poly	100%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	100%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	100%
Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	100%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Amaru Gaming and BTC Gaming in the PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win the match against BTC Gaming.

This market will resolve to "BTC Gaming" if BTC Gaming win the match against Amaru Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Amaru Gaming and BTC Gaming in the PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win the match against BTC Gaming.

This market will resolve to "BTC "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $885.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $911
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [BTC Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [BTC Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [BTC Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [BTC Gaming: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

80¢

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (5)

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs BTC Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)

Game Handicap: Amaru Gaming (-1.5) vs BTC Gaming (+1.5)

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