Name: Highest temperature in Denver on April 18?
End: 2026-04-18T12:00:00.000Z

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Highest temperature in Denver on April 18? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $10.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 18?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 18?	Poly	35%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 18?	Poly	22%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 18?	Poly	22%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 18?	Poly	10%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 18?	Poly	9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 18?	Poly	4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 18?	Poly	3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 18?	Poly	2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 18?	Poly	1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

35%

Top Probability

$10.71K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Denver on April 18?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $37.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.28)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $646
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $454
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $395
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $526
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $468
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $559
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $330
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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