Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Name: LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
End: 2026-10-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.44K

Events

Markets

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Vol

$1.44K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

39 markets tracked

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

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Single-Platform Markets(39)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Poly	74%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	67%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner	Poly	67%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	66%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)	Poly	55%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 4 Winner	Poly	53%
Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	52%
Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	51%
Games Total: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	49%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	49%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)	Poly	31%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$1.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports.

This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against MVK Esports.

This market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $29.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $506
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 4 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $319
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 73.6% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 26.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Games Total: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Games Total: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $611
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FURIA Esports: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [MVK Esports: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Game 5: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Volume$1.44K

Markets39

39 of 39

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POLYMARKET

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 5. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FURIA Esports and MVK Esports each destroy at least one en

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Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Xsen2v" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In"></iframe>

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

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Events (1)

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Markets (39)

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

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LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

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