Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

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GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

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Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	97%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	96%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	95%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	93%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	90%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.313 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	85%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.315 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	78%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.317 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	69%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.319 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	60%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.321 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	52%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.323 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	43%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.325 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	35%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.327 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	27%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.329 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	21%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.331 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	15%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.333 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	11%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.335 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	8%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.337 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	6%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.339 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	5%
Will GBPUSD be Above 1.341 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above X at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above X at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Roun

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above X at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above X at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Roun

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.341 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026.
If the rate is Above"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.341 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.339 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.337 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.335 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.333 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.331 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.329 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.327 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.325 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.323 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.321 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.319 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.317 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.315 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.313 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume$0.00

Markets20

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KALSHI

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

KALSHI

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

If the value of the GBPUSD opening candlestick is Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the GBPUSD exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Oct 16, 2026. If the rate is Above

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/XtjVT8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT"></iframe>

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GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

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Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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Events (1)

GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Markets (20)

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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GBPUSD price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.303 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.305 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.307 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.309 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

Will GBPUSD be Above 1.311 at 5pm ET on Oct 16?

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