$16.57K
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$16.57K
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22 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 81% |
| Poly | 75% |
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| Poly | 51% |
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| Poly | 48% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming in the named LoL match in the LCP Regular Season, scheduled for January 16 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win against Deep Cross Gaming in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this marke
Prediction markets are pricing in a clear favorite for this League of Legends LCP Regular Season match. On Polymarket, the contract for "Deep Cross Gaming" to win is trading at approximately 75%. This translates to an implied probability of a 3 in 4 chance that Deep Cross Gaming will secure the victory in this Best-of-Three series. The market sees this as a likely outcome, but the 25% chance assigned to the underdog, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, indicates a meaningful possibility of an upset. Trading volume is relatively thin at around $9,000, which suggests this is a niche esports market without major institutional betting interest.
The primary factor is the significant performance gap between the two teams within the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP). Deep Cross Gaming has established itself as a consistently stronger roster, often competing near the top of the standings, while the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, despite its recognizable name from baseball, has historically struggled in the esports division. The market is heavily weighting this historical precedent and perceived skill differential. Furthermore, the Best-of-Three format reduces variance compared to a single game, favoring the more skilled and prepared team, which the market believes is Deep Cross Gaming.
Given the match resolves in less than a day, the odds are unlikely to shift dramatically barring significant last-minute news. The key catalyst that could move the market would be an announced roster change, such as a key player substitution due to illness or an unexpected strategic pivot from either team. A major shift in pre-match analyst sentiment or betting patterns from traditional sportsbooks could also influence the prediction market price. However, with the event imminent, the 75% probability largely reflects the settled consensus view that Deep Cross Gaming is the superior team heading into this series.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a professional League of Legends match in the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP), a premier esports league for the Asia-Pacific region. The specific contest is a Best-of-Three series scheduled for January 16, 2025, at 3:30 AM Eastern Time, featuring the Japanese team Deep Cross Gaming against the Japanese team Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. The market resolves based on which organization wins the match, a common structure for wagering on competitive esports outcomes. The LCP Regular Season is a critical phase where teams compete for playoff seeding and qualification to international tournaments like the Mid-Season Invitational. This match is part of the 2025 LCP Spring Split, which began in January 2025, marking the first competitive split of the year for these organizations. Interest in this market stems from the competitive rivalry within Japan's domestic League of Legends scene, the backing of the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming by a major professional baseball organization, and the broader implications for regional standings. Bettors and fans analyze team rosters, recent performance in the early season, and historical head-to-head records to inform their predictions.
The League of Legends Japan League (LJL) was the domestic league for Japan from 2014 until 2024. In 2024, Riot Games merged the LJL with the League of Legends Pacific Championship Series (PCS) to form the League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP), creating a larger, more competitive region. The inaugural LCP season began in 2024, with Deep Cross Gaming and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming as founding members representing Japan. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming entered the scene in 2022, bringing significant investment and visibility from one of Japan's most famous sports franchises. Historically, Japanese teams have struggled internationally, but the formation of the LCP aimed to strengthen the region by fostering more intense competition. Past encounters between these two teams in the LJL and LCP have been closely contested, often serving as indicators of the domestic pecking order within Japan. The 2024 LCP season saw both teams vying for playoff positions, setting the stage for their ongoing rivalry in 2025.
This match matters for the competitive integrity and narrative of the LCP's 2025 Spring Split. Early-season results can set a tone for a team's entire split, affecting player morale, strategic confidence, and playoff trajectory. For the organizations, success translates to fan engagement, sponsor visibility, and potential revenue from merchandise and broadcasting. A win for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming reinforces the value of cross-sport investment from traditional athletic organizations into esports, potentially encouraging similar ventures. For Deep Cross Gaming, a victory asserts the capability of dedicated esports organizations against well-funded counterparts backed by major sports brands. On a broader scale, the performance of Japanese teams within the LCP influences the region's seeding and reputation at international Riot-sanctioned events, impacting the perception of competitive strength across the entire Asia-Pacific League of Legends landscape.
The 2025 LCP Spring Split Regular Season is underway as of January 2025. Both Deep Cross Gaming and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming have played their initial matches of the split, with results contributing to their early-season records. The teams are preparing specifically for this head-to-head matchup scheduled for January 16. Rosters for the 2025 season have been finalized, though last-minute substitutions are possible according to league rules. The match is slated to be broadcast live on official LCP channels, including Twitch and YouTube.
The League of Legends Circuit Pacific (LCP) is the premier professional League of Legends league for the Asia-Pacific region, formed in 2024 from a merger of the PCS and LJL. It features teams from Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macao, Southeast Asia, and Japan, and serves as a qualification path for international tournaments.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming is owned by SoftBank Hawks Corp., the company that owns the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks, a professional baseball team in Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball. This represents a significant investment in esports by a traditional sports organization.
The match will be broadcast live with English commentary on the official LCP Twitch and YouTube channels. VODs (Video on Demand) are typically uploaded to the LCP YouTube channel shortly after the live broadcast concludes for viewers in different time zones.
The LCP has established competitive rules and protocols for such scenarios. Typically, teams are allowed to use registered substitutes from their roster. If necessary, Riot Games may postpone the match, though the prediction market would remain open until the game is completed as per its resolution rules.
A Best-of-Three (BO3) match means the first team to win two individual games wins the series. The teams play up to three games, stopping once a team reaches two wins. This format tests adaptability, as teams can change strategies between games.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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