Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Total Volume

$62.60K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Vol

$62.60K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $62.60K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $62.60K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $215 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $220 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $225 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	78%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $230 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	53%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $235 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $240 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$62.60K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

average passenger fare in Q3 2026 If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above X average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** average passenger fare in Q3 2026

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above X average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 240 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $62.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $240 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $235 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $11.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $230 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $225 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $220 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $215 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $957
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $509
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 19, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Volume$62.60K

Markets12

12 of 12

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

KALSHI

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

KALSHI

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

KALSHI

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

KALSHI

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

77¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Y-E6Bf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Markets (12)

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $190 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $185 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $210 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget