MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

Name: MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$35.68K

Events

Markets

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MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $35.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Poly	18%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

18%

Top Probability

$35.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026. Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". It is

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (166 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.

Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

It is 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between Dec"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.98)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $35.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

165d 13h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

18¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Y4B8qe" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?"></iframe>

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MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

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MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)