Multipli.fi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $52.0K
1
10
Multipli.fi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PM $52.0K
1
10
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $20M at 95.5%.
Polymarket
- $20M95.5%
- $50M87%
- $100M74.5%
- $150M58.5%
- $200M43%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $52.0K
Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of multipli.fi's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If multipli.fi (https://x.com/multiplifi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of multipli.fi's governance token will be greater than a stated threshold one day after launch [1]. The source defines FDV as "the total token supply multiplied by the token price" [1]. A launch requires that the token be "actively, publicly transferable and tradable" [1]. The rules define "1 day after launch" as "4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch" [1]. If no token launches by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider field, not an announced launch date, and the rule text describes the resolution conditions.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 16:13 UTC on 15 October 2026 and retrieved at 18:04 UTC the same day [1]. They are a record from earlier that day, not a live quote. The sample includes all ten saved threshold markets for this provider event, from $20M to $1B [1]. The sample is complete for that event, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome.
Yes prices by threshold are: $20M at 0.9565, $50M at 0.983, $100M at 0.87, $150M at 0.745, $200M at 0.415, $250M at 0.435, $300M at 0.32, $500M at 0.0505, $800M at 0.072, and $1B at 0.0345 [1]. The Yes prices do not fall steadily as thresholds rise. The $250M contract (0.435) is above the $200M contract (0.415), and the $800M contract (0.072) is above the $500M contract (0.0505) [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract, so each should be read on its own terms.
These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence includes no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep any market is. Price differences between thresholds do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. It does not confirm that a token has launched or will launch. It also does not show what the resolution source's price will be at the defined resolution time. Because the snapshot predates the retrieval time, readers should not treat these figures as the prices at the time they are reading.
References
- Polymarket: Multipli.fi FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This Polymarket event asks whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of multipli.fi's governance token will be greater than a threshold stated in the market title one day after launch [1]. Each threshold is a separate market within the same event. The contract defines FDV as the total token supply multiplied by the token price [1]. The contract sets several conditions. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as a launch [1]. The one-day check point is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1]. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available at that time [1]. If multipli.fi does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No [1]. The provider lists the event end time as 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z and the status as active [1]. That listed end time is a contract rule, not an announced launch date or a forecast of when a token will exist. At the observation time recorded for this snapshot, the saved markets covered ten thresholds ranging from $20M to $1B, and all ten markets in the saved event were included [1]. Yes prices in that snapshot ran from about 0.0345 at the $1B threshold to about 0.983 at the $50M threshold [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A higher threshold generally carries a lower Yes price in this snapshot, but the sample does not show the full real-world range of possible valuations. The event is categorized under crypto and is hosted on Polymarket [1]. The source material does not describe multipli.fi's product, team, token design, or launch plans, so this explanation is limited to the contract rules.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single condition: whether a multipli.fi governance token, if launched, has an FDV above a chosen level one day after launch [1]. Because FDV is calculated from total token supply rather than only circulating supply, the contract's result depends on both the token's price and the total supply that the contract counts [1]. The contract also depends on a token actually launching under its stated transferability and tradability conditions, and it resolves No if no launch occurs by the stated deadline [1]. Traders reading the prices should keep in mind that the provider's sample reflects a single observation time and that the contract's resolution depends on the most liquid price source at the check point [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the market to resolve Yes?
The governance token's FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, must be greater than the value in the market title one day after launch [1]. The token must also be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as a launch [1].
What happens if no token launches?
If multipli.fi does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No [1].
How is the one-day check point defined?
One day after launch is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is the most liquid price source available [1].
Does a market price show the probability of an outcome?
The saved prices are snapshots from a provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. Their meaning depends on the contract rules and the observation time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
