Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

Total Volume

$6.54K

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What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

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$6.54K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.54K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)	Kalshi	89%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)	Kalshi	87%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)	Kalshi	85%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)	Kalshi	80%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)	Kalshi	77%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Homeowner)	Kalshi	65%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Snapshot)	Kalshi	62%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Reinsurance)	Kalshi	55%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)	Kalshi	24%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Open the House)	Kalshi	8%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Hippo)	Kalshi	5%
What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Rosella)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$6.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If X is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The Progressive Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contrac

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 3, 2026

If X is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The Progressive Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contrac

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Snapshot is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the The Progressive Corporation ea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Snapshot)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Rosella)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Reinsurance)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Open the House)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Homeowner)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Hippo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Buyback / Buy Back)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

Volume$6.54K

Markets12

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KALSHI

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

If M&A / Acquisition is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corpo

KALSHI

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHISports

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

If Inflation is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corporation e

KALSHI

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

If Bundle / Bundling is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corpo

KALSHI

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

If AI / Artificial Intelligence is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the The Progre

KALSHI

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHICompanies

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

If Catastrophe is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the The Progressive Corporation

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53¢

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What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

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Events (1)

What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

Markets (12)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

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What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (M&A / Acquisition)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Bundle / Bundling)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Catastrophe)

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