Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Total Volume

$0.29

Events

Markets

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Vol

$0.29

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.29

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $0.29

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	15%
Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

15%

Top Probability

$0.29

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored dur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If X win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored dur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Mirassol win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A so"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Volume$0.29

Markets2

2 of 2

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KALSHI

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Bahia win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A socce

KALSHI

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

If Mirassol win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A so

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9¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YNreHF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread"></iframe>

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

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Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Events (1)

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Markets (2)

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Spread

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

Mirassol wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half

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