Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

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$26.69

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When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

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$26.69

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $26.69

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.69

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?	Kalshi	49%
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?	Kalshi	40%
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?	Kalshi	38%
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?	Kalshi	30%
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?	Kalshi	20%
Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2027?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$26.69

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before 2032 If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2032

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2032 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2029): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Volume$26.69

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2032 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2031 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

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When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

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Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

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Events (1)

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Markets (6)

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

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Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2032?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2031?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2029?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2028?

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