Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

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$1.42K

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When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.42K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $1.42K

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?	Kalshi	72%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?	Kalshi	64%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?	Kalshi	58%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?	Kalshi	50%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?	Kalshi	39%
Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2027?	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

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72%

Top Probability

$1.42K

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2032 If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2032

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, X under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2032 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2031): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Volume$1.42K

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2032 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco

KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2031 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco

KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco

KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco

KALSHI

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes. Seco

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Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

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Events (1)

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Markets (6)

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

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Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

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When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2032?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2029?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

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