Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

Total Volume

$14.05K

Events

Markets

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CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

Vol

$14.05K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.05K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.05K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?	Kalshi	13%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?	Kalshi	12%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?	Kalshi	11%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?	Kalshi	10%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?	Kalshi	9%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.3%?	Kalshi	8%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.4%?	Kalshi	8%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.8%?	Kalshi	7%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.5%?	Kalshi	6%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.9%?	Kalshi	6%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.1%?	Kalshi	3%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.3%?	Kalshi	3%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.4%?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.2%?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.0%?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.8%?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.7%?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.1%?	Kalshi	1%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.9%?	Kalshi	1%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.6%?	Kalshi	1%
Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.5%?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

13%

Top Probability

$14.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Dec 2026 If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Dec 2026

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $62
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $610
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $922
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $710
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $979
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $728
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.3%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $193
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 2.5%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

Volume$14.05K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 4.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YSU0wS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026"></iframe>

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CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

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Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

Markets (21)

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

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Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.7%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.6%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.0%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 3.5%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

Will CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 be exactly 4.2%?

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