GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)	Kalshi	85%
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)	Kalshi	60%
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)	Kalshi	48%
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)	Kalshi	37%
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If the 30-Yr FRM is above X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If the 30-Yr FRM is above X in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the 30-Yr FRM is above 7.0% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHIOther

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.6% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHIOther

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.7% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.8% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIOther

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 6.9% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIOther

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 7.0% in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Freddie Mac U.S. weekly averages as of the Primary Mortgage Market Survey is the source agency. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/YTMCGK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

Markets (5)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.6%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.7%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.8%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 6.9%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? (Above 7.0%)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget